EW Staff
February 02, 2004 AT 05:00 AM EST

Dave Karger sizes up the Best Actress race

Predicted Winner Charlize Theron, ”Monster”
Possible Upsets Diane Keaton, ”Something’s Gotta Give”; Keisha Castle-Hughes, ”Whale Rider”
No Way Naomi Watts, ”21 Grams”; Samantha Morton, ”In America”

Theron’s victory at the SAG awards, which historically have been hard on smaller indie films, means she?s even more of a frontrunner than some analysts had thought. Thanks to all the media attention on Theron’s phenomenal performance, voters have certainly made watching ”Monster” a top priority. Charming 13-year-old Keisha Castle-Hughes has made a strong late surge, and Diane Keaton is a perennial favorite to challenge any newcomer, but Theron seems unstoppable at this point.

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