Spider-Man 2: Melissa Moseley
Dave Karger
July 02, 2004 AT 04:00 AM EDT

Will ”Spider-Man 2”’s opening weekend match that of ”Spider-Man”? They’re almost impossible to compare.

”Spider-Man” grossed an unbelievable $114.8 million in its first three days in May 2002, a record that still holds more than two years later. The sequel, however, debuted on a Wednesday and promptly broke the record for opening-day gross — previously held by the first ”Spider-Man” — with $40.5 million. Plus, it will enjoy a six-day debut ”weekend,” thanks to the Fourth of July holiday. While it would be quite a feat for the second ”Spidey” to break the Friday-through-Sunday benchmark, expect to see six-day numbers beyond anything we’ve ever seen — in the ballpark of $170 million. For the four-day holiday weekend, it should rake in about $105 million.

Michael Moore’s ”Fahrenheit 9/11,” meanwhile, sees its theater count double this weekend, which should allow the controversial documentary to gross another $25 million over the long weekend, followed by the surprise hit ”Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story” and ”White Chicks,” which will each earn around $14 million.

Completing the top five will likely be ”The Notebook,” which could see a small slide to $9 million in its second weekend. But every film in the marketplace will owe a debt of gratitude to ”Spider-Man 2,” which will have moviegoers flocking to the multiplexes between Fourth of July barbecues.

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