EW Staff
February 18, 2005 AT 05:00 AM EST

Who’ll win the Best Supporting Actor Oscar in 2005?

Last year, this category was a done deal, with Mystic River‘s Tim Robbins sweeping all three of the most reliable pre-Oscar awards. But Broadcast Film Critics winner Thomas Haden Church, Golden Globe victor Clive Owen, and SAG Awards favorite Morgan Freeman have proved that this year won’t be so predictable. Two things are for sure: After checking off Jamie Foxx’s name for Best Actor, voters aren’t likely to do so again for Collateral, and with his limited screen time, The Aviator‘s Alan Alda isn’t likely to score an Oscar to rest next to his five Emmys. So who will break the deadlock? Owen gave a star-making performance as a furious cuckold in Closer, but the film doesn’t have much overall support. Sideways sidekick Church is the most appealing story of the bunch, having evolved from sitcom star to missing person to Oscar nominee, but it’s rare for a comedian to emerge victorious. Our money’s on Freeman, who earned his fourth nod for his measured turn in Million Dollar Baby and should finally reach the stage for the first time.

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