The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Odds: Up Julian Schnabel’s drama has won Producers Guild and Directors Guild nods and upset the Coen brothers for best director at the Globes.
Odds: Down It won the best-drama Globe…after Oscar-nomination balloting closed. And it was shut out by all the major guild awards, so its hopes for a Best Picture nod are fading.
Odds: Up After trailing Gone Baby Gone’s Amy Ryan in critics-awards wins, the I’m Not There star emerged victorious as best supporting actress at the Globes.
Charlie Wilson’s War
Odds: Down An 0-for-5 showing at the Globes and not a single guild-award nomination? Sorry, Tom and Julia, but your Oscar-season War is now officially over.
There Will Be Blood
Odds: Up Paul Thomas Anderson’s vivid oil-drilling epic trails only No Country for Old Men in guild nods. Expect a bounty of Oscar nominations on Jan. 22.