Dave Karger
December 25, 2008 AT 08:00 PM EST

After weeks of hype and anticipation, Oscar front-runner The Curious Case of Benjamin Button finally reaches theaters today. But it’s not the only awards bait of the day: Revolutionary Road and Last Chance Harvey face the music as well. Here are the Oscar chances for each movie.


Best Bets

Best Picture
It’s on track to score the most nominations of any film this year.

Best Director, David Fincher
Mr. Creepy finally turned sentimental, and the Academy will reward him for it.

Best Actor, Brad Pitt
Even with all the technology, he pulls off an emotionally engrossing performance.

Best Supporting Actress, Taraji P. Henson
Thanks to Henson’s big-hearted performance, it’s impossible not to fall in love with Button’s adoptive mom, Queenie.

Best Adapted Screenplay, Eric Roth
Roth won a screenplay Oscar for Forrest Gump, and Button touches many of the same bases.

Also: Best Cinematography, Best Editing, Best Art Direction, Best Makeup, Best Original Score, and Best Visual Effects


Best Sound Mixing and Best Sound Editing
Button could just find a spot in there among the big, loud blockbusters.

Long shot

Best Actress, Cate Blanchett
She landed a Broadcast Film Critics nomination but was left out of the Golden Globe and SAG races. The acting focus may end up on Pitt and Henson.


Best Bet

Best Actress, Kate Winslet
Even if the film falters overall, Winslet’s performance as an unhappy suburbanite should give her one of two nominations this year.


Best Picture
Many early voting bodies ignored it, but it’s still one of the top prestige films of the year.

Best Director, Sam Mendes
He hasn’t been nominated since winning this award for 1999’s American Beauty. And this is his best work since then.

Best Actor, Leonardo DiCaprio
He shows real maturity in his tough scenes with Winslet. Voters will have to get over the film’s dark storyline.

Best Supporting Actor, Michael Shannon
Shannon’s ace scene stealing seemed to make him a shoo-in early in the awards season. Being overlooked by the Globes and SAG awards brought him down a few notches.

Best Adapted Screenplay, Justin Haythe
Rookie screenwriter Haythe created a vivid adaptation, but it’s hard to compete with novelist Richard Yates’ supremely detailed characters.


Long shots

Best Actor, Dustin Hoffman, and Best Actress, Emma Thompson
Both earned Globe nods for their terrific tragi-comic turns. But the Academy may find the romance too lightweight.

addCredit(“Benjamin Button: Merrick Morton, Revolutionary Road: François Duhamel”)

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