Michael Ausiello
May 10, 2010 AT 03:22 PM EDT

Image Credit: Isabella Vosmikova/Fox; Michael Courtney/FoxYikes — the suits at Fox have just been cast in their own remake of Sophie’s Choice! The network likely has room for only one underperforming drama on its fall schedule, insiders tell me, and that leaves Lie to Me and Human Target competing for the slot! Who’ll get it? Let’s look at the pros and cons of each option…

Both bubble shows are ratings underachievers. However, with all its special effects, Target is presumably costlier to make. And its finale last month sunk its numbers to a new series low: 1.9 in the 18-49 demo. And it’s produced by outside studio Warner Bros., whereas Lie to Me is produced in-house (by 20th Century).

Further, Lie to Me is in its second season and therefore more established than frosh Target. It also has another chance to impress execs with some Nielsen muscle when it returns from its hiatus on June 7 and begins airing its remaining episodes.

Working against Lie to Me, though, is the fact that it recently lost its showrunner, Shawn Ryan. And, given that his list of achievements includes The Unit and The Shield, that’s a pretty big “ouch.”

Until D-Day — May 17, when Fox unveils its fall sked to advertisers at the upfronts — you can follow me on Twitter @michaelausiello for more late-breaking scoop on this sitch. You can also track all of this season’s big renewal questions via my Bubble Show Scorecard. And last but not least, you can weigh in below: If you were Fox, which show would you choose? (Additional reporting by Andy Patrick)

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