Michael Becker/Fox
Kate Ward
April 01, 2011 AT 05:08 PM EDT

Look at the photo above. Notice anything? Well, beyond the absence of last night’s eliminated contestants — Naima Adedapo and Thia Megia — you should notice quite the gender disparity within the Top 9. Though Randy Jackson began the season in January by telling media outlets that he thought a female contestant would win American Idol, season 10’s girls have been dropping faster than a saved Casey Abrams. Though the girls slightly outnumbered the guys in the Top 13, we’ve since lost Ashthon Jones, Karen Rodriguez, and the aforementioned Naima and Thia, bringing the current total to six men and only three women.

The disparity in favor of the men comes as little surprise, however, considering how Idol has been trending in recent years. In the last two previous seasons, the men outnumbered the women, six to three, in the Top 9. And, in those two seasons, the Top 5 was comprised of just one female — who didn’t nab the win. (On the flip side, season 3 was the only season to feature just one male — George Huff — in the Top 5.) That’s not to say season 10 won’t have a female victor: Idol‘s fourth season shared the same Top 9 disparity, but found a winner in a little someone known as Carrie Underwood. (And this is the information that has filled my brain in lieu of math.)

But since we haven’t had a female winner since Jordin Sparks was crowned in season 6, do we expect season 10 to follow suit? Does season 10 belong to the men? It certainly seems that way, since most of the “break-out” performances were sung by the guys this season. (See: Casey’s “I Put a Spell on You,” Scotty’s “Letters from Home,” Stefano’s “I Need You Now,” Jacob’s “You’re All I Need to Get By” compared to Pia’s “I’ll Stand By You” and Haley’s “Bennie and the Jets.”) Also, since Idol fans have only voted for four female winners throughout the show’s nine seasons, odds don’t appear to be in the ladies’ favor.

But we’re going to toss it out to you, PopWatchers. What do you think? Who will win this year: A guy or a girl?

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Follow Kate on Twitter @KateWardEW

Read more:

Thia Megia’s exit Q&A — EXCLUSIVE

‘American Idol’ exit Q&A: Naima Adedapo says she ‘took a huge risk’ by singing reggae

‘American Idol’ recap: Goodbye Yellow Brick Road

‘American Idol’: Scotty throws swag, Lauren sheds tears on the scene for Top 11 results night, take 2

‘Idol’ coaches talk the Top 11 taking on Elton John

Behind the scenes at EW’s ‘Idol’ photo shoot!

EW.com’s ‘American Idol’ Central

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