Dave Karger
February 05, 2012 AT 12:00 PM EST

As any Oscarwatcher knows, Martin Scorsese’s ode to film preservation, Hugo, earned the most Academy Award nominations this year. But how many of its 11 nods will it actually win? It’s up for the following awards: Best Picture, director, adapted screenplay, editing, art direction, cinematography, costume design, original score, visual effects, sound mixing, and sound editing. Last night it won one of the three Art Directors Guild prizes for feature-film work (along with The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2), so it has a great chance in that category. I’d also give it decent odds for editing, costume design, visual effects, and the two sound awards. Adapted screenplay, meanwhile, strikes me as a three-way race between Hugo, Moneyball, and The Descendants, while picture and director seem to be going The Artist‘s way. And The Tree of Life seems the safest bet for cinematography. So Hugo‘s final tally of wins should end up in the 4-to-7 range. Which means that even if it doesn’t win Best Picture, it could still win the most Oscars this year.

On today’s episode of my Oscar.com series Nominated with Dave Karger, I take a closer look at Hugo. How many awards do you think it will take home on Feb. 26?

Dave on Twitter: @davekarger

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