Mandi Bierly
December 11, 2012 AT 11:57 PM EST

On Thursday’s midseason finale of The Vampire Diaries (The CW, 8 p.m. ET), death will again come to Mystic Falls. One of these six will die. Who will it be? First a refresher, then a vote!

Tyler (Michael Trevino): After breaking his own hybrid sire bond to Klaus, Tyler has teamed up with werewolf Hayley to help 12 other hybrids do the same. We know from the promo, Tyler has his mind set on “taking out Klaus” in this hour, which is worrisome because — no offense, Tyler — we think Klaus can definitely outsmart him. Also working against Tyler: Stefan doesn’t approve of his plan. And, Hayley has promised Professor Shane 12 unsired hybrids, which he presumably wants to sacrifice so he (through Bonnie) can access the dark magic witches refer to as Expression. Hayley wants to spare Tyler; Shane has made no promises.

Carol Lockwood (Susan Walters): Should Klaus want to punish Tyler for leading an uprising against him, Tyler’s mother would seem a good target, no? And with the town hosting a “Winter Wonderland-themed party,” the mayor should be out and about…

Liz Forbes (Marguerite MacIntyre): If trouble ends up going down at a town event, Sheriff Forbes would be there, right? We wouldn’t want Caroline to be an orphan, but it’s been a while since Candice Accola made us cry (which she does so well)…

Jeremy (Steven R. McQueen): His ring should save him if one of those vampires he’s got the urge to hunt gets the better of him (unless someone chops his hand off with the axe tank-topped Jeremy is wielding in a clip, of course). But he’ll be at the Gilbert family lake house with Damon, Elena, Bonnie, and Professor Shane, who can’t be trusted — and is presumably human, which means the ring wouldn’t work if he were to sacrifice Jeremy naturally. Remember, back in New Orleans 1942, the witch tricked Damon into killing “12 souls,” which means a human theoretically counts toward the tally. That could also spell trouble for…

Matt (Zach Roerig): We haven’t seen him in any promos or clips, so he could either be safe offscreen working overtime at the Grill, or find himself caught up in a deadly situation that’s too much of a spoiler to tease…

Bonnie (Kat Graham): The show seems to need its resident witch (though not in every episode), so you think she’d make it to 2013. Then again, we’ve seen that powerful spells can kill a witch, and there’s always the chance that someone will have to take her out (even Bonnie herself) if they realize Shane’s been using her for evil.

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