Amazingly, no fall shows have been canceled yet -- here's why | EW.com

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Amazingly, no fall shows have been canceled yet -- here's why

Bad-Judge

Image Credit: John Fleenor/NBC

We’ve gone an entire month into the fall TV season without a single canceled show. That’s amazing.

Last year, the first canceled show was on Oct. 4 (ABC’s Lucky 7). In 2012, it was on Oct. 10 (CBS’ Made In Jersey). In 2011, Oct. 4 struck again (NBC’s The Playboy Club). Usually, the first canceled show is followed within a week or so by a second and third.

Yet here we are, on Oct. 21, with four weeks of new shows behind us (more weeks for some early launching titles, like Fox’s Red Band Society and Utopia). And yet, the new shows are still standing. The broadcast ax sits in the corner of the woodshed, gleaming and unused.

What’s the holdup? Do we have a schedule chock full of new big hits? Hahahahaha. No. There are definitely titles begging for their misery to end—like NBC’s A to Z, ABC’s Manhattan Love Story (my pick in the EW office deadpool) and pretty much every new Fox show except Gotham.

There has been a couple key demotions since the start of the season—reality effort Utopia was taken off Tuesday nights and it now just stinks up Fridays. Fox’s comedy Mulaney saw its episode order reduced from 16 to 13 episodes. They’re shows walking, but still walking.

Industry insiders cite some factors at play.

DVR, as usual, gets some of the blame/credit. Networks are taking longer to evaluate given the steep amount of time-shifted viewing going on. Full DVR numbers take a few weeks to come in. The premiere-week episode of Red Band Society grew a whopping 82 percent via DVR. But insiders suggest any DVR hesitation is partly cosmetic and PR driven too – executives realize they can’t keep saying publicly that everybody needs to take into consideration DVR playback rather than judging their shows off initial numbers, then axe a show before full data on a couple episodes have come in.

Fox in particular likes to wait, if possible, until after its World Series coverage since the games are so disruptive its schedule that it makes it tough to launch something new in the middle of it.

Some of the bombing comedies are tanking in hour-long blocks, which makes it tougher to cancel one without axing both.

But another significant factor, from what I’m hearing, is that there is a lack of confidence this year in the midseason replacement shows. In other words, networks fear that a time period might only get worse if they switch to the next show in the dugout, so they’re holding off for now.

So let’s re-ask the question we asked a few weeks ago: Which new show will be canceled first? Selfie, Utopia, and NBC’s Mysteries of Laura “won” that poll. Fox’s Gracepoint is begging to get chopped from Thursday night, and almost certainly would be if not for the upcoming baseball coverage (and the fact it’s a limited series adds some incentive to let it play out). Same goes for Utopia. Comedies Selfie, Manhattan, Bad Judge and A to Z are all looking super weak (with my pick Manhattan the softest last week).

Here’s the just-released ranking of all the broadcast shows among adults 18-49 through the first four weeks of the season (including full DVR playback for the first two weeks):

Show Name Net P18-49
Rtg
NBC NFL SUNDAY  FOOTBALL NBC 8.1
BIG BANG THEORY CBS 6.0
NBC NFL SUNDAY  PRE-KICK NBC 5.9
CBS THU  FOOTBALL CBS 5.8
NFL OT FOX 5.1
MODERN FAMILY ABC 4.7
VOICE NBC 4.6
FAMILY GUY FOX 4.6
BIG BANG THEORY-M 830P CBS 4.4
HOW TO GET AWAY WITH MURDER ABC 4.4
FOOTBALL NT IN AMERICA 3 NBC 4.3
VOICE-TUE NBC 4.2
SCANDAL ABC 4.1
BLACKLIST NBC 3.9
GOTHAM FOX 3.9
SCORPION CBS 3.6
ONCE UPON A TIME ABC 3.6
SIMPSONS FOX 3.5
BLACK-ISH ABC 3.4
GREY’S ANATOMY ABC 3.4
NCIS CBS 3.3
BIG BROTHER-WED CBS 3.2
CRIMINAL MINDS CBS 3.1
SURVIVOR CBS 2.9
UNDER THE DOME CBS 2.9
GOLDBERGS ABC 2.9
CHICAGO FIRE NBC 2.8
NCIS: NEW ORLEANS CBS 2.8
BROOKLYN NINE-NINE FOX 2.6
MARVEL AGENT OF S.H.I.E.L.D. ABC 2.5
MIDDLE ABC 2.5
SLEEPY HOLLOW FOX 2.5
LAW & ORDER:SVU NBC 2.4
CBS+NFLN THU NT KICK-2 CBS 2.4
MARRY ME NBC 2.3
CASTLE ABC 2.3
SHARK TANK ABC 2.3
CHICAGO PD NBC 2.2
PERSON OF INTEREST CBS 2.2
DANCING WITH THE STARS ABC 2.2
DANCING WITH THE STARS RSLTS ABC 2.2
RESURRECTION ABC 2.2
NCIS: LA CBS 2.1
STALKER CBS 2.1
ABC SAT NIGHT COL FTBL ABC 2.1
60 MINUTES CBS 2.0
BONES FOX 2.0
NEW GIRL FOX 2.0
PARENTHOOD NBC 1.9
MADAM SECRETARY CBS 1.9
NASHVILLE ABC 1.9
BIGGEST LOSER 16 NBC 1.8
FOOTBALL NT IN AMERICA 2 NBC 1.8
MYSTERIES OF LAURA NBC 1.8
CSI CBS 1.8
FOREVER ABC 1.8
BOB’S BURGERS FOX 1.8
HELL’S KITCHEN FOX 1.8
FLASH CW 1.8
ABOUT A BOY NBC 1.7
GOOD WIFE CBS 1.7
REVENGE ABC 1.7
FAMILY GUY-ENCORE FOX 1.7
UTOPIA FOX 1.7
AMAZING RACE CBS 1.6
BLUE BLOODS CBS 1.6
HAWAII FIVE-0 CBS 1.6
LAST MAN STANDING ABC 1.6
BAD JUDGE NBC 1.5
MINDY PROJECT FOX 1.5
RED BAND SOCIETY FOX 1.5
DATELINE-FRI NBC 1.4
20/20-FRI ABC 1.4
SELFIE ABC 1.3
A-TO-Z NBC 1.2
CRISTELA ABC 1.2
GRACEPOINT FOX 1.2
AMER FUNN HOME VIDEOS ABC 1.1
MANHATTAN LOVE STORY ABC 1.1
MULANEY FOX 1.1
VAMPIRE DIARIES CW 1.1
48 HOURS CBS 1.0
SUPERNATURAL CW 1.0
ABC SAT NIGHT COL FTBL-PREGM ABC 0.9
COLLEGE FOOTBALL-FOX-PRIME FOX 0.9
UTOPIA-FRI FOX 0.9
ARROW CW 0.9
SNL PRIME-SAT NBC 0.8
CRIMETIME SAT-9P CBS 0.7
ORIGINALS CW 0.7
JANE THE VIRGIN CW 0.6
WHOSE LINE IS IT ANYWAY CW 0.6
LAW & ORDER:SVU-SAT NBC 0.5
MYSTERIES OF LAURA-SAT NBC 0.5
CRIMETIME SAT-8P CBS 0.5
REIGN CW 0.5