Avengers: Age of Ultron hasn’t faced much in the way of box office competition since it debuted to crazy numbers two weeks ago. But two of this summer’s most anticipated films are finally here, and both carry excellent reviews and massive social media buzz.
Pitch Perfect 2 already became the first film to bump Age of Ultron from No. 1 when it debuted in Australia and New Zealand, and most are expecting it to do the same when it opens in the United States this weekend. While PP2 is the projected favorite, Mad Max: Fury Road is tracking close behind, and with Age of Ultron still holding strong as it enters its third week, it should be a tight race.
Here are our box office predictions for this weekend.
1. Pitch Perfect 2 — $45 million
The first Pitch Perfect debuted in limited release to about $5.1 million, but Pitch Perfect 2 is opening in about 10 times as many theaters — and with about 10 times as much marketing. Conservative predictions put PP2 in the upper range of $30 million, but other tracking estimates are predicting as high as the mid-40s. We’ll go there with ours: $45 million and the box-office crown.
2. Mad Max: Fury Road — $40 million
With stellar reviews and a big push from Warner Bros., Fury Road should bring in some solid numbers this weekend. Still, the Mad Max series is more of a cult favorite than a genuine hit, so the latest installment (which is also rated “R”) isn’t expected to beat the Barden Bellas.
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron — $38.9 million
The last five Marvel Studios movies dropped an average of 45 percent in their third weeks, but Ultron is facing two big debuts this weekend (see above). Ultron should see a slightly higher drop of about 50 percent, but because of its lofty second-weekend numbers, that will still leave it neck and neck with Mad Max and Pitch Perfect 2.
4. Hot Pursuit — $6 million
Reese Witherspoon and Sofia Vergara’s big comedy brought in an underwhelming $13.9 million when it bowed last weekend. And now it’s facing Pitch Perfect 2, another female-led comedy albeit one with better reviews (and singing). Expect Hot Pursuit to drop about 55 percent to $6 million.
5. The Age of Adaline — $4.7 million
The Age of Adaline has had a solid run over the past few weeks – last weekend, it only dropped a miniscule 6 percent. As one of the only romantic dramas in theaters right now, expect it to keep up its momentum and only fall about 20 percent this weekend.