Box office preview: Deadpool, Zoolander 2, How To Be Single |


Box office preview: Deadpool to demolish Zoolander 2, How To Be Single

The Merc with the Mouth is finally making his debut as a leading man, and Ryan Reynold’s Deadpool is set to dominate the President’s Day box office.

The R-rated superhero flick is headed for a four-day opening of at least $60 million, well above the projected debuts of Zoolander 2 and How To Be Single. With President’s Day on Monday and Valentine’s Day falling on Sunday, it should be a busy weekend in theaters, even if it doesn’t reach last year’s heights: In 2015, Fifty Shades of Grey set a President’s Day box-office record, opening to $93 million over four days.

Here’s what this weekend’s box office race might look like. (All numbers are for the four-day weekend.)

1. Deadpool — $65 million

Opening in 3,558 theaters, Deadpool should rake in at least $60 to $65 million over four days, but some are saying it could easily reach $70 million. If it makes more than $63 million, it’ll surpass the 2010 rom-com Valentine’s Day to become the second-highest President’s Day weekend opening of all time. With and Fandango both reporting big advanced sales, Deadpool has earned excellent reviews (an 81 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes) and has a reported budget of $58 million.

2. Zoolander 2 — $25 million

Fifteen years after Derek and Hansel made their big-screen debut, the two really, really ridiculously good-looking models are back. The original Zoolander failed to make much of a dent in the 2001 box office, debuting to $15.5 million and going on to gross $45.2 million domestically, but it became a cult hit on DVD. The 2016 installment — which has a budget of about $50 million — has Ben Stiller, Owen Wilson, and Will Ferrell reprising their roles, joined by Penelope Cruz and Kristen Wiig. Reviews have been pretty mediocre, with a 29 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes, but Zoolander 2 should perform similarly to Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues, another sequel to a cult comedy classic. Anchorman 2 premiered to $26.2 million in 2013, and Zoolander 2 is expected to land somewhere in the mid-20s for the long weekend, opening in 3,394 theaters.

3. How To Be Single — $22 million

Dakota Johnson set a President’s Day box office record last year with Fifty Shades of Grey, and now, she’s starring opposite Rebel Wilson in the R-rated comedy How To Be Single. Reviews are mixed, with a 47 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes. How To Be Single’s budget is upwards of $30 million, and it should debut in the low-20s in 3,343 theaters.

4. Kung Fu Panda 3 — $20 million

Kung Fu Panda 3 has pulled in more than $73.2 million domestically since debuting two weeks ago, and it should hold up well again this weekend, especially as one of the few family-friendly options in theaters right now. Expect to add another $20 million or so to its total over the four-day weekend.

5. Hail, Caesar! — $7 million

The fifth-place spot is a bit of a toss-up, with movies like The Revenant and Star Wars: The Force Awakens all expected to land somewhere in the mid-single digits over four days. Out of last weekend’s new releases, however, Hail, Caesar! fared the best, coming in second place overall with $11.4 million. Its domestic total through Wednesday is at $14.1 million. Over President’s Day weekend, the Coen brothers’ comedy is expected to make about $7 million.