Why He'll Win: Oh, who are we kidding? Not a chance in hell this dude wins.
Why He Won't: Logic. Common Sense. Sanity. Granted, all of those things are in short supply on this show, but Busey winning would take ridiculous to a whole new level.
The Bottom Line: Once again Busey will make it waaaaaaay past when he should due to his alleged entertainment value, but then Trump will mercifully cut him loose.